Sport Picks

Stadium Background

America De Cali vs Tigre

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Romero D.
Assist: Garay M.
28'
Carrascal R.
46'
Sub
Carrascal R. In: Cavadia J.
Out: Carrascal R.

AI Match Summary

America De Cali host Tigre in the Copa Sudamericana. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Tigre have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while America De Cali have conceded 1.25 and scored 0.88. Past meetings favor Tigre slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 20, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.19, favoring America De Cali. America De Cali in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
America De Cali
39%
Draws
31%
Tigre
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • America De Cali has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tigre.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Copa Sudamericana provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
America De Cali Clean Sheet 68%
Tigre Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America De Cali Tigre
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 12
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
America De Cali vs Tigre
1:1
May 1, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Tigre vs America De Cali
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America De Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Angel T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Tigre Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America De Cali 41 / 100
Tigre 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America De Cali Tigre

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America De Cali scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Tigre let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

America De Cali went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tigre lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America De Cali VS Tigre
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara62406:310
2Tigre62318:59
3America De Cali62316:59
4Alianza Atl.60242:92
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG63128:610
2Cienciano62225:78
3Juventud614110:77
4Academia Puerto Cabello62136:97
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Paulo63306:112
2O Higgins63128:610
3Millonarios62227:78
4Boston River61055:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Recoleta61506:58
2Santos61418:67
3San Lorenzo61416:57
4Dep. Cuenca61323:76
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo RJ651015:516
2Caracas62319:99
3Racing Club622211:98
4Independiente60063:150
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Montevideo City641111:513
2Gremio63218:311
3Deportivo Riestra61234:105
4Palestino60331:63
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion641110:613
2Vasco631210:610
3A. Italiano62137:97
4Barracas Central60332:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1River Plate64209:314
2Bragantino631212:510
3Carabobo63036:59
4Blooming60153:171