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America de Cali W vs Atl. Nacional W Prediction & H2H Stats

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ocampo L.
Assist: Gonzalez M.
20'
Gonzalez M.
24'
Cardona G.

AI Match Summary

Atl. Nacional W in this Liga Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Nacional W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
America de Cali W
15%
Draws
32%
Atl. Nacional W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America de Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atl. Nacional W lately — more wins on the board than America de Cali W.
  • Model gives America de Cali W a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
America de Cali W Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Cali W Atl. Nacional W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 20
Draws 7 1
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.81
Goals Conceded 0.8 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:0
Aug 24, 2025 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs America de Cali W
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Atl. Nacional W
0:3
Mar 24, 2025 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:1
Jun 7, 2024 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America de Cali W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Atl. Nacional W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ocampo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valencia K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Cali W 68 / 100
Atl. Nacional W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Cali W Atl. Nacional W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America de Cali W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America de Cali W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Atl. Nacional W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: America de Cali W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

America de Cali W VS Atl. Nacional W
1.75 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

America de Cali W

(Home)
12 Sept
Dep. Cali W
0 : 1
America de Cali W
09 Sept
America de Cali W
3 : 1
Orsomarso W
05 Sept
America de Cali W
0 : 1
Indep. Santa Fe W
02 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
1 : 1
America de Cali W
29 Aug
Orsomarso W
0 : 2
America de Cali W
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Atl. Nacional W

(Away)
20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0
Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2
Dep. Cali W
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1
Inter Palmira W
09 Sept
Millonarios W
2 : 1
Atl. Nacional W
04 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0
Inter Bogotá W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Orsomarso W 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
2 Dep. Cali W 6 2 3 1 7:3 9
3 Ind. Medellin W 6 1 3 2 7:12 6
4 Inter Palmira W 6 0 3 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Liga Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional W 6 5 0 1 11:5 15
2 Indep. Santa Fe W 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
3 America de Cali W 6 1 3 2 5:8 6
4 Millonarios W 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
Promotion - Liga Women 2025 (Play Offs)