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America de Cali W vs Orsomarso W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Munoz M.
Assist: Arias C.
46'
Sub
Goyes V. In: Garcia H.
Out: Goyes V.
46'
Sub
Chanchi I. In: Cordoba M.
Out: Chanchi I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women game between America de Cali W and Orsomarso W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America de Cali W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
America de Cali W
20%
Draws
7%
Orsomarso W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America de Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Orsomarso W haven't matched America de Cali W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans America de Cali W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors America de Cali W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
America de Cali W Clean Sheet 68%
Orsomarso W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Cali W Orsomarso W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 12
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.48 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Orsomarso W
3:1
Aug 29, 2026 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs America de Cali W
0:2
Mar 10, 2026 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Orsomarso W
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs America de Cali W
1:1
Mar 19, 2022 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Orsomarso W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America de Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Orsomarso W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lasso Sanchez B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Cali W 95 / 100
Orsomarso W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Cali W Orsomarso W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America de Cali W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America de Cali W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Orsomarso W conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: America de Cali W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

America de Cali W VS Orsomarso W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

America de Cali W

(Home)
12 Sept
Dep. Cali W
0 : 1
America de Cali W
09 Sept
America de Cali W
3 : 1
Orsomarso W
05 Sept
America de Cali W
0 : 1
Indep. Santa Fe W
02 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
1 : 1
America de Cali W
29 Aug
Orsomarso W
0 : 2
America de Cali W
Page 1 of 7

Orsomarso W

(Away)
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
09 Sept
America de Cali W
3 : 1
Orsomarso W
04 Sept
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
Orsomarso W
01 Sept
Orsomarso W
0 : 0
Dep. Cali W
29 Aug
Orsomarso W
0 : 2
America de Cali W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Millonarios W 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
2 Atl. Nacional W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
3 Inter Palmira W 6 2 1 3 7:12 7
4 Inter Bogotá W 6 1 2 3 6:7 5
Promotion - Liga Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali W 6 3 2 1 6:2 11
2 Indep. Santa Fe W 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
3 America de Cali W 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
4 Orsomarso W 6 0 1 5 2:11 1
Promotion - Liga Women (Play Offs)