Sport Picks

Stadium Background

America de Cali W vs Orsomarso W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America de Cali W play Orsomarso W in the Liga Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, America de Cali W averaged 1.39 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. Orsomarso W averaged 1.35 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. In past meetings, America de Cali W won 4, Orsomarso W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 10, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for America de Cali W and 0.69 for Orsomarso W. This points to a America de Cali W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
America de Cali W
28%
Draws
30%
Orsomarso W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: America de Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • America de Cali W picked up more points recently compared to Orsomarso W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
America de Cali W Clean Sheet 28%
Orsomarso W Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Cali W Orsomarso W
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 17 12
Draws 8 12
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.39 1.35
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Orsomarso W
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs America de Cali W
1:1
Mar 19, 2022 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Orsomarso W
2:0
Apr 26, 2018 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Orsomarso W
3:1
Mar 9, 2018 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs America de Cali W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America de Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Florez G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Orsomarso W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Cali W 43 / 100
Orsomarso W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Cali W Orsomarso W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: America de Cali W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +22.1%
3.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

America de Cali W attacking → ← attacking Orsomarso W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America de Cali W scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Orsomarso W let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

America de Cali W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Orsomarso W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 48
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atl. Nacional W13110225:533
2Dep. Cali W13102129:632
3America de Cali W1392222:629
4Millonarios W1384128:728
5Indep. Santa Fe W1374223:925
6Inter Bogotá W1371519:1422
7Inter Palmira W1363412:1521
8Ind. Medellin W1361620:1519
9Orsomarso W1336413:1315
10Fortaleza W133469:1813
11Llaneros W133469:2113
12Junior W1325611:2111
13Bucaramanga W132299:338
14Once Caldas W131485:197
15Real Santander W130763:197
16Dep. Pasto W1303108:243