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America de Pedrinhas vs Amadense

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between America de Pedrinhas and Amadense finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America de Pedrinhas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
America de Pedrinhas
15%
Draws
36%
Amadense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America de Pedrinhas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and America de Pedrinhas come out ahead of Amadense on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
America de Pedrinhas Clean Sheet 68%
Amadense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Pedrinhas Amadense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.5 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2024 Sergipano 2
America de Pedrinhas vs Amadense
4:1
Sep 15, 2024 Sergipano 2
Amadense vs America de Pedrinhas
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Pedrinhas 41 / 100
Amadense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Pedrinhas Amadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America de Pedrinhas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Amadense conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: America de Pedrinhas scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Amadense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

America de Pedrinhas VS Amadense
1.75 Goals Scored 0.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

America de Pedrinhas

(Home)
02 Nov
Desportiva Aracaju
4 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
25 Oct
Independente SE
1 : 1
America de Pedrinhas
18 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
1 : 0
Boca Junior
15 Oct
Olimpico EC
1 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
12 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
0 : 3
Caninde
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Amadense

(Away)
12 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Amadense
05 Oct
Amadense
0 : 1
CS Maruinense
02 Oct
Botafogo ASF
3 : 0
Amadense
21 Sept
Amadense
3 : 0
Riachao
17 Sept
Amadense
0 : 1
AD Boquinhense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SE 8 7 0 1 13:1 21
2 Atletico Central 8 6 0 2 17:7 18
3 Aracaju FC 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 CS Maruinense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
5 Socorro 8 0 1 7 1:19 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 8 7 1 0 16:4 22
2 Barra SE 8 6 1 1 19:4 19
3 Santa Cruz SE 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
4 Cotinguiba 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
5 Socorrense 8 1 1 6 1:18 4
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Pedrinhas 8 6 0 2 20:9 18
2 Independente SE 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
3 Riachao 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Amadense 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
5 AD Boquinhense 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frei Paulistano 8 6 1 1 21:3 19
2 Boca Junior 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
3 Estanciano EC 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
4 Sete de Junho 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
5 Botafogo ASF 8 1 2 5 3:17 5
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 8 6 1 1 23:6 19
2 Caninde 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
3 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 8 4 0 4 16:10 12
4 Propria 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
5 Coritiba SE 8 0 1 7 6:30 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)