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Stadium Background

America de Pedrinhas vs Boca Junior

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America de Pedrinhas in this Sergipano 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored America de Pedrinhas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
America de Pedrinhas
15%
Draws
0%
Boca Junior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America de Pedrinhas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to America de Pedrinhas lately — more wins on the board than Boca Junior.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on America de Pedrinhas taking it.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
America de Pedrinhas Clean Sheet 18%
Boca Junior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Pedrinhas Boca Junior
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.5 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Sergipano 2
America de Pedrinhas vs Boca Junior
1:0
Oct 16, 2024 Sergipano 2
Boca Junior vs America de Pedrinhas
2:2
May 1, 2021 Sergipano
America de Pedrinhas vs Boca Junior
0:3
Mar 21, 2021 Sergipano
Boca Junior vs America de Pedrinhas
2:0
Feb 15, 2020 Sergipano
Boca Junior vs America de Pedrinhas
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Pedrinhas 85 / 100
Boca Junior 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Pedrinhas Boca Junior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America de Pedrinhas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boca Junior's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 34 matches.

Away concern: Boca Junior has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

America de Pedrinhas found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

America de Pedrinhas VS Boca Junior
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

America de Pedrinhas

(Home)
02 Nov
Desportiva Aracaju
4 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
25 Oct
Independente SE
1 : 1
America de Pedrinhas
18 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
1 : 0
Boca Junior
15 Oct
Olimpico EC
1 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
12 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
0 : 3
Caninde
Page 1 of 6

Boca Junior

(Away)
01 Nov
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Olimpico EC
25 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Caninde
18 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
1 : 0
Boca Junior
15 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Atletico Gloriense
11 Oct
Frei Paulistano
5 : 1
Boca Junior
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 9 8 1 0 26:3 25
2 Atletico Gloriense 9 7 1 1 22:2 22
3 Olimpico EC 9 7 1 1 22:5 22
4 Frei Paulistano 9 5 1 3 20:9 16
5 Caninde 9 4 1 4 14:20 13
6 America de Pedrinhas 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
7 Atletico Central 9 2 1 6 7:17 7
8 Flamengo SE 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
9 Independente SE 9 1 2 6 6:23 5
10 Boca Junior 9 1 0 8 4:28 0
Promotion - Sergipano (Main)