Sport Picks
America de Propria vs Atletico Gloriense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Governo (Sergipe) 
Match Events
8'
8'
Kassio
13'
13'
Kassio
21'
21'
Gabriel Mancha
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-5. The second leg ended 1-5.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Gloriense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Atletico Gloriense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Atletico Gloriense a 80% chance of winning this.
- Atletico Gloriense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor America de Propria, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
America de Propria Clean Sheet 16%
Atletico Gloriense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | America de Propria | Atletico Gloriense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.12 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 5, 2026 Copa Governo (Sergipe)
America de Propria vs Atletico Gloriense
1:5
Jan 21, 2026 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Atletico Gloriense
2:0
Mar 23, 2024 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Atletico Gloriense
2:1
Mar 17, 2024 Sergipano
Atletico Gloriense vs America de Propria
1:1
Mar 2, 2024 Sergipano
Atletico Gloriense vs America de Propria
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
America de Propria Compare
Top Goalscorer Franca C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Atletico Gloriense Compare
Top Goalscorer Kassio
2 Goals Assists Leader Gabriel Mancha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
America de Propria 10 / 100
Atletico Gloriense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
America de Propria Atletico Gloriense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico Gloriense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
America de Propria scored in 70% of their last 33 games.
Atletico Gloriense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
Difficult form: Atletico Gloriense registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
America de Propria VS Atletico Gloriense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
America de Propria
(Home) 13 Aug
Falcon
1 : 0 America de Propria
08 Aug
America de Propria
2 : 3 Guarany SE
05 Aug
America de Propria
1 : 5 Atletico Gloriense
01 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 2 America de Propria
29 Jul
America de Propria
0 : 1 Lagarto
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08 Aug
America de Propria
2 : 3 Guarany SE
05 Aug
America de Propria
1 : 5 Atletico Gloriense
29 Jul
America de Propria
0 : 1 Lagarto
26 Feb
America de Propria
1 : 1 Sergipe
18 Feb
America de Propria
1 : 2 Tirol
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Atletico Gloriense
(Away) 18 Aug
Falcon
1 : 0 Atletico Gloriense
13 Aug
Atletico Gloriense
0 : 0 Lagarto
08 Aug
Atletico Gloriense
0 : 1 Falcon
05 Aug
America de Propria
1 : 5 Atletico Gloriense
01 Aug
Guarany SE
1 : 1 Atletico Gloriense
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18 Aug
Falcon
1 : 0 Atletico Gloriense
05 Aug
America de Propria
1 : 5 Atletico Gloriense
01 Aug
Guarany SE
1 : 1 Atletico Gloriense
10 Feb
Sergipe
2 : 1 Atletico Gloriense
03 Feb
Falcon
2 : 1 Atletico Gloriense
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falcon | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Desportiva Aracaju | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Lagarto | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Atletico Gloriense | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 5 | Guarany SE | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 6 | America de Propria | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Governo (Sergipe) (Play Offs)
