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America de Propria vs Itabaiana Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Isaque
22' Event
Luan Silva
44' Event
Jair

AI Match Summary

Itabaiana in this Sergipano matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itabaiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
America de Propria
15%
Draws
85%
Itabaiana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Itabaiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Itabaiana have won more games recently than America de Propria.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
America de Propria Clean Sheet 68%
Itabaiana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Propria Itabaiana
Matches Played 34 46
Wins 11 16
Draws 12 15
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.15 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Sergipano
Itabaiana vs America de Propria
1:0
Feb 11, 2026 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Itabaiana
0:3
Mar 15, 2025 Sergipano
Itabaiana vs America de Propria
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Itabaiana
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Itabaiana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America de Propria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Itabaiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Isaque
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luan Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Propria 42 / 100
Itabaiana 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Propria Itabaiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: America de Propria scored in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Itabaiana let in goals in 61% of their last 46 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Itabaiana registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America de Propria VS Itabaiana
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.6 Goals Conceded 1.13
60% Over 1.5 38%
60% Over 2.5 25%
60% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

America de Propria

(Home)
13 Aug
Falcon
1 : 0
America de Propria
08 Aug
America de Propria
2 : 3
Guarany SE
05 Aug
America de Propria
1 : 5
Atletico Gloriense
01 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 2
America de Propria
29 Jul
America de Propria
0 : 1
Lagarto
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Itabaiana

(Away)
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1
Itabaiana
16 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 0
Itabaiana
09 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
SER Caxias do Sul
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sergipe 9 6 2 1 13:6 20
2 Itabaiana 9 5 2 2 12:4 17
3 Lagarto 9 4 4 1 16:8 16
4 Confianca 9 4 3 2 10:6 15
5 Guarany SE 9 3 3 3 10:10 12
6 America de Propria 9 2 6 1 8:8 12
7 Falcon 9 3 2 4 8:10 11
8 Atletico Gloriense 9 3 1 5 14:13 10
9 Dorense 9 2 1 6 9:23 7
10 Desportiva Aracaju 9 0 2 7 5:17 2
Promotion - Sergipano (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sergipano (Play Offs)