Sport Picks

Ecuador

Serie B 2023 Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa

America de Quito

1 - 1

Macara

Our Tip

Match Events

53'

Manchot A.

75'

Folleco J.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2023 game between America de Quito and Macara finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

America de Quito

28%

Draws

22%

Macara

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: America de Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Macara carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans America de Quito's way, sitting at 50%.
Regular Serie B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

America de Quito Clean Sheet 68%

Macara Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	America de Quito	Macara
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	10	15
Draws	8	10
Losses	12	7
Goals Scored	0	1.63
Goals Conceded	0	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2023 Serie B

Macara vs America de Quito

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 0 - 3

3:1

Jul 12, 2023 Serie B

America de Quito vs Macara

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 0 - 4

1:1

Jun 8, 2023 Serie B

Macara vs America de Quito

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Apr 13, 2023 Serie B

America de Quito vs Macara

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Aug 10, 2019 Liga Pro

Macara vs America de Quito

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America de Quito Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Macara Compare

Top Goalscorer Manchot A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Quito 59 / 100

Macara 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

America de Quito Macara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America de Quito's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: America de Quito remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Macara conceded in 53% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Macara

0 Goals Scored 1.63

0 Goals Conceded 1.38

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Macara	36	18	10	8	47:34	64
2	Imbabura	36	15	13	8	58:43	58
3	Vinotinto	36	14	13	9	54:39	55
4	Manta	36	14	10	12	39:37	52
5	Independiente Juniors	36	13	12	11	40:40	51
6	Nueve de Octubre	36	12	8	16	48:48	44
7	Vargas Torres	36	10	14	12	27:34	44
8	Chacaritas	36	12	7	17	44:47	43
9	America de Quito	36	11	10	15	46:58	43
10	Buhos ULVR	36	5	15	16	30:53	30