Sport Picks

Stadium Background

America de Quito vs Nueve de Octubre

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2023 Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Villa J.
65'
Sangoquiza W.
65'
Sangoquiza W.

AI Match Summary

America de Quito host Nueve de Octubre in the Serie B 2023. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. America de Quito have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Nueve de Octubre's 2 scored and 0.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Nueve de Octubre slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2023, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.97 - 1.55) back Nueve de Octubre to edge this. Nueve de Octubre in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
America de Quito
6%
Draws
4%
Nueve de Octubre
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America de Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nueve de Octubre has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to America de Quito.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for America de Quito.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie B 2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
America de Quito Clean Sheet 15%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Quito Nueve de Octubre
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2023 Serie B
America de Quito vs Nueve de Octubre
1:0
Aug 23, 2023 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs America de Quito
1:0
Jun 1, 2023 Serie B
America de Quito vs Nueve de Octubre
1:0
Apr 5, 2023 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs America de Quito
3:1
Oct 21, 2020 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs America de Quito
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America de Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Villa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Nueve de Octubre Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Quito 84 / 100
Nueve de Octubre 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Quito Nueve de Octubre

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America de Quito scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Nueve de Octubre let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

America de Quito went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Nueve de Octubre lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nueve de Octubre
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara361810847:3464
2Imbabura361513858:4358
3Vinotinto361413954:3955
4Manta3614101239:3752
5Independiente Juniors3613121140:4051
6Nueve de Octubre361281648:4844
7Vargas Torres3610141227:3444
8Chacaritas361271744:4743
9America de Quito3611101546:5843
10Buhos ULVR365151630:5330