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America des Cayes vs Racing des Gonaives Prediction & H2H Stats

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America des Cayes in this Championnat National 2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored America des Cayes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
America des Cayes
35%
Draws
40%
Racing des Gonaives
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Racing des Gonaives

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to America des Cayes lately — more wins on the board than Racing des Gonaives.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
America des Cayes Clean Sheet 20%
Racing des Gonaives Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America des Cayes Racing des Gonaives
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 7
Draws 12 13
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.22 0.74
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Racing des Gonaives
4:0
Oct 25, 2020 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs America des Cayes
2:1
Sep 1, 2019 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Racing des Gonaives
6:2
Mar 27, 2019 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs America des Cayes
2:0
Nov 5, 2017 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs America des Cayes
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America des Cayes 32 / 100
Racing des Gonaives 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America des Cayes Racing des Gonaives

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: America des Cayes scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

America des Cayes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Racing des Gonaives conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

America des Cayes VS Racing des Gonaives
1.13 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

America des Cayes

(Home)
28 May
Violette
2 : 0
America des Cayes
25 May
America des Cayes
1 : 1
Juventus
22 May
Don Bosco
1 : 1
America des Cayes
17 May
America des Cayes
0 : 2
Juventus
14 May
Cavaly
0 : 1
America des Cayes
Page 1 of 7

Racing des Gonaives

(Away)
28 Apr
Racing des Gonaives
1 : 0
Fica
21 Apr
Racing des Gonaives
3 : 2
Ouanaminthe
14 Apr
Real Hope
3 : 1
Racing des Gonaives
10 Apr
AS Capoise
1 : 1
Racing des Gonaives
30 Mar
Fica
0 : 0
Racing des Gonaives
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Bosco 8 4 4 0 14:5 16
2 Mirebalais 9 3 6 0 8:5 15
3 Ouanaminthe 9 4 3 2 8:6 15
4 Rivartibonitienne 9 3 5 1 7:6 14
5 Arcahaie 6 3 3 0 7:1 12
6 Cavaly 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
7 Fica 9 3 3 3 5:4 12
8 Tempete 8 3 3 2 7:8 12
9 AS Capoise 9 3 2 4 6:5 11
10 Triomphe Liancourt 8 2 4 2 8:6 10
11 Real du Cap 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
12 Violette 9 2 4 3 7:8 10
13 Racing des Gonaives 9 2 4 3 4:7 10
14 America des Cayes 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
15 Juventus 8 2 2 4 5:8 8
16 Baltimore 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Racing Haitien 8 1 3 4 8:16 6
18 Cosmopolites 7 1 1 5 3:13 4
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Cloture - Play Offs)
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Cloture - Play Offs)