Sport Picks

Stadium Background

America des Cayes vs Racing des Gonaives

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America des Cayes in this Championnat National 2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored America des Cayes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
America des Cayes
40%
Draws
29%
Racing des Gonaives
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to America des Cayes lately — more wins on the board than Racing des Gonaives.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
America des Cayes Clean Sheet 20%
Racing des Gonaives Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America des Cayes Racing des Gonaives
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 10 12
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 0.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Racing des Gonaives
4:0
Oct 25, 2020 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs America des Cayes
2:1
Sep 1, 2019 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Racing des Gonaives
6:2
Mar 27, 2019 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs America des Cayes
2:0
Nov 5, 2017 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs America des Cayes
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America des Cayes 32 / 100
Racing des Gonaives 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America des Cayes Racing des Gonaives

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: America des Cayes scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

America des Cayes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Racing des Gonaives conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

America des Cayes VS Racing des Gonaives
1.13 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Bosco844014:516
2Mirebalais93608:515
3Ouanaminthe94328:615
4Rivartibonitienne93517:614
5Arcahaie63307:112
6Cavaly63309:412
7Fica93335:412
8Tempete83327:812
9AS Capoise93246:511
10Triomphe Liancourt82428:610
11Real du Cap931510:1110
12Violette92437:810
13Racing des Gonaives92434:710
14America des Cayes72237:78
15Juventus82245:88
16Baltimore81346:96
17Racing Haitien81348:166
18Cosmopolites71153:134