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America MG U17 vs Bahia U17

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U17
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Brasileiro U17 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
America MG U17
30%
Draws
34%
Bahia U17
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: America MG U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Bahia U17 have won more games recently than America MG U17.
  • Model gives America MG U17 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
America MG U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Bahia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America MG U17 Bahia U17
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 2.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Brasileiro U17
America MG U17 vs Bahia U17
2:2
Sep 2, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Bahia U17 vs America MG U17
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America MG U17 36 / 100
Bahia U17 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America MG U17 Bahia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia U17 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: America MG U17 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

America MG U17's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

America MG U17 VS Bahia U17
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

America MG U17

(Home)
22 Jul
America MG U17
0 : 0
Botafogo RJ U17
14 Jul
Santos U17
1 : 0
America MG U17
08 Jul
America MG U17
3 : 0
Atletico GO U17
01 Jul
Bragantino U17
3 : 2
America MG U17
23 Jun
America MG U17
0 : 0
Sao Paulo U17
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Bahia U17

(Away)
22 Jul
Bahia U17
1 : 1
Palmeiras U17
14 Jul
Internacional U17
1 : 0
Bahia U17
08 Jul
Bahia U17
4 : 0
Gremio U17
30 Jun
Fortaleza U17
3 : 2
Bahia U17
25 Jun
Bahia U17
1 : 0
Vitoria U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fluminense U17971120:622
2Corinthians U17961227:719
3Palmeiras U17961227:1519
4Cruzeiro U17961215:719
5Athletico-PR U17952219:1417
6Bragantino U17951322:1416
7Fortaleza U17951315:1616
8Santos U1794148:1313
9America MG U17934218:813
10Flamengo RJ U17933315:1512
11Sao Paulo U17926110:812
12Bahia U17932413:911
13Botafogo RJ U17932416:2211
14Internacional U17931512:2210
15Gremio U17931511:2510
16EC Juventude U1792438:1810
17Vasco U1792349:129
18Atletico-MG U17914414:187
19Vitoria U1791176:184
20Atletico GO U1790096:240
Promotion - Brasileiro U17 (Play Offs)