Sport Picks
America MG vs Athletic Club - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Mineirão, Belo Horizonte 
Match Events
45'
45'
Kauan Rodrigues
Assist: Max
52'
52'
Sosa L.
Own Goal
56'
56'
Enzo Santos
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between America MG and Athletic Club finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athletic Club.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athletic Club
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- America MG haven't matched Athletic Club's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
America MG Clean Sheet 16%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | America MG | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 10 |
| Losses | 20 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Serie B
America MG vs Athletic Club
1:3
Apr 5, 2026 Serie B
Athletic Club vs America MG
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Mineiro
America MG vs Athletic Club
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Serie B
Athletic Club vs America MG
0:2
Jul 8, 2025 Serie B
America MG vs Athletic Club
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
America MG Compare
Top Goalscorer Mastriani G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Athletic Club Compare
Top Goalscorer Kauan Rodrigues
1 Goals Assists Leader Carlinhos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
America MG 36 / 100
Athletic Club 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
America MG Athletic Club
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Athletic Club Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Athletic Club let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
America MG's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Away concern: Athletic Club has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
America MG VS Athletic Club
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
America MG
(Home) 07 Oct
America MG
0 : 1 Fortaleza
03 Oct
Atletico GO
2 : 0 America MG
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1 EC Juventude
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0 America MG
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
America MG
0 : 1 Fortaleza
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1 EC Juventude
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
09 Sept
America MG
2 : 1 Nautico
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 3
Athletic Club
(Away) 06 Oct
Goias
2 : 1 Athletic Club
01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2 Sport Recife
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2 Athletic Club
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Goias
2 : 1 Athletic Club
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2 Athletic Club
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2 Athletic Club
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Athletic Club
28 Aug
Nautico
2 : 1 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
