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America MG vs Avai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Mineirão, Belo Horizonte
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America MG host Avai in the Serie B. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: America MG at 0.76 goals for, 1.48 against; Avai at 1 for, 1.27 against. Head-to-head, America MG have won 1 to Avai's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 21, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 0.81) point toward Avai. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
America MG
15%
Draws
37%
Avai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Avai carry the better recent record into this one.
  • America MG are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
America MG Clean Sheet 20%
Avai Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America MG Avai
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.76 1
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Serie B
Avai vs America MG
2:1
Sep 2, 2025 Serie B
America MG vs Avai
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Serie B
Avai vs America MG
3:0
Oct 12, 2024 Serie B
Avai vs America MG
2:2
Jun 25, 2024 Serie B
America MG vs Avai
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America MG 49 / 100
Avai 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America MG Avai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America MG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: America MG stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

America MG scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

America MG VS Avai
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

America MG

(Home)
01 Nov
Londrina
1 : 3
America MG
26 Oct
America MG
1 : 0
Cuiaba
17 Oct
America MG
1 : 0
Operario-PR
12 Oct
Criciuma
1 : 0
America MG
07 Oct
America MG
0 : 1
Fortaleza
Page 1 of 6

Avai

(Away)
31 Oct
Nautico
1 : 0
Avai
24 Oct
Avai
0 : 2
Botafogo SP
18 Oct
Avai
0 : 0
Athletic Club
11 Oct
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Avai
07 Oct
Avai
2 : 1
Londrina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 35 16 13 6 43:31 61
6 CRB 35 16 7 12 53:49 55
7 Sport Recife 36 14 13 9 48:39 55
8 Atletico GO 35 14 12 9 42:33 54
9 Goias 35 15 7 13 36:40 52
10 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
11 Operario-PR 36 14 9 13 46:48 51
12 Botafogo SP 36 13 9 14 41:39 48
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
15 Athletic Club 35 10 14 11 40:40 44
16 Ceara 35 11 10 14 37:44 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 36 8 8 20 45:54 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)