Sport Picks

Brazil

Serie B Estadio Raimundo Sampaio (Independencia)

America MG

0 - 1

Criciuma

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Dalbert H.

31'

Cesar Martins

Assist: Gui Lobo

40'

Waguininho

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between America MG and Criciuma finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Criciuma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

America MG

33%

Draws

40%

Criciuma

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Criciuma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

America MG haven't matched Criciuma's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Criciuma's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%

America MG Clean Sheet 19%

Criciuma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	America MG	Criciuma
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	5	14
Draws	7	10
Losses	16	4
Goals Scored	0.75	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Serie B

America MG vs Criciuma

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Oct 12, 2025 Serie B

Criciuma vs America MG

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Jun 21, 2025 Serie B

America MG vs Criciuma

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Jun 10, 2021 Copa Betano do Brasil

Criciuma vs America MG

Possession: 44% - 48% Cards: 1 - 4

3:2

Jun 3, 2021 Copa Betano do Brasil

America MG vs Criciuma

Possession: 58% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America MG Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Cesar Martins

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America MG 28 / 100

Criciuma 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

America MG Criciuma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America MG found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Criciuma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

America MG has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

America MG VS Criciuma

0.75 Goals Scored 1.13

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5

63% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Criciuma	17	9	6	2	20:12	33
2	Vila Nova FC	17	9	4	4	25:19	31
3	Operario-PR	17	9	4	4	22:18	31
4	Novorizontino	17	8	6	3	28:16	30
5	EC Juventude	17	8	5	4	17:8	29
6	Fortaleza	17	8	4	5	20:17	28
7	Sao Bernardo	17	7	5	5	23:16	26
8	Sport Recife	17	6	8	3	21:15	26
9	Goias	17	7	4	6	18:23	25
10	Atletico GO	17	6	6	5	19:19	24
11	Cuiaba	17	5	9	3	14:11	24
12	Athletic Club	16	5	7	4	16:16	22
13	Nautico	17	6	3	8	21:21	21
14	Botafogo SP	17	5	5	7	20:18	20
15	CRB	17	5	5	7	26:31	20
16	Londrina	17	5	4	8	25:25	19
17	Ceara	16	4	5	7	15:20	17
18	Avai	17	4	4	9	18:24	16
19	Ponte Preta	17	2	2	13	11:33	8
20	America MG	17	1	4	12	11:28	7