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America MG vs Cuiaba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Mineirão, Belo Horizonte
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America MG host Cuiaba in the Serie B. Cuiaba are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: America MG at 0.73 goals for, 1.57 against; Cuiaba at 1.39 for, 0.85 against. Past meetings favor Cuiaba slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 2, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.44 xG vs 1.56) point toward Cuiaba. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
America MG
15%
Draws
65%
Cuiaba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cuiaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cuiaba come out ahead of America MG on wins alone.
  • 65% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
America MG Clean Sheet 15%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America MG Cuiaba
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 15
Draws 3 11
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 0.73 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Serie B
Cuiaba vs America MG
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie B
America MG vs Cuiaba
1:1
Jul 24, 2025 Serie B
Cuiaba vs America MG
3:1
Sep 15, 2023 Serie A
Cuiaba vs America MG
2:2
May 7, 2023 Serie A
America MG vs Cuiaba
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America MG 31 / 100
Cuiaba 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America MG Cuiaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cuiaba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

America MG found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

America MG has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

America MG VS Cuiaba
0.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

America MG

(Home)
17 Oct
America MG
1 : 0
Operario-PR
12 Oct
Criciuma
1 : 0
America MG
07 Oct
America MG
0 : 1
Fortaleza
03 Oct
Atletico GO
2 : 0
America MG
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1
EC Juventude
Page 1 of 6

Cuiaba

(Away)
11 Oct
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Avai
10 Oct
Sorriso EC
2 : 3
Cuiaba
07 Oct
Vila Nova FC
0 : 0
Cuiaba
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0
Cacerense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 34 18 8 8 48:33 62
2 Novorizontino 34 17 10 7 61:30 61
3 EC Juventude 34 17 10 7 41:23 61
4 Fortaleza 34 16 12 6 41:29 60
5 Criciuma 34 17 8 9 35:28 59
6 Atletico GO 34 14 12 8 42:32 54
7 CRB 34 15 7 12 51:48 52
8 Sport Recife 34 13 12 9 45:37 51
9 Goias 34 14 7 13 34:40 49
10 Operario-PR 34 13 9 12 44:46 48
11 Cuiaba 33 11 14 8 32:26 47
12 Sao Bernardo 34 12 10 12 46:37 46
13 Botafogo SP 34 12 8 14 38:38 44
14 Athletic Club 34 10 14 10 40:39 44
15 Nautico 34 11 10 13 39:42 43
16 Ceara 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
17 Avai 34 10 7 17 33:43 37
18 Londrina 33 7 8 18 42:49 29
19 America MG 34 5 5 24 22:54 20
20 Ponte Preta 34 3 5 26 19:74 14
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)