Sport Picks

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America MG vs Goias

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Mineirão, Belo Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Lucas Lima
Penalty Missed
46'
Sub
Gabriel Barros In: Mastriani G.
Out: Gabriel Barros
46'
Elizari F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between America MG and Goias finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
America MG
33%
Draws
40%
Goias
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Goias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • America MG haven't matched Goias's recent run of results.
  • Goias are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
America MG Clean Sheet 20%
Goias Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America MG Goias
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Serie B
America MG vs Goias
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Serie B
Goias vs America MG
3:1
Aug 23, 2025 Serie B
Goias vs America MG
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 Serie B
America MG vs Goias
1:0
Oct 17, 2024 Serie B
America MG vs Goias
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Jesus P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Goias Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America MG 28 / 100
Goias 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America MG Goias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: America MG scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Goias conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: America MG stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America MG VS Goias
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

America MG

(Home)
26 Jul
America MG
1 : 0
Goias
21 Jul
Avai
2 : 1
America MG
17 Jul
America MG
1 : 1
Ceara
13 Jul
America MG
1 : 1
Londrina
02 Jul
Cuiaba
1 : 0
America MG
Page 1 of 6

Goias

(Away)
26 Jul
America MG
1 : 0
Goias
22 Jul
Goias
1 : 1
Sport Recife
18 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2
Goias
12 Jul
CRB
2 : 2
Goias
04 Jul
Goias
2 : 0
Ceara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma20117223:1240
2EC Juventude20105522:1235
3Operario-PR20105528:2535
4Fortaleza20104623:1934
5Vila Nova FC20104627:2434
6Novorizontino2096532:1933
7Atletico GO2087523:2031
8CRB2085731:3229
9Goias2085721:2629
10Sport Recife20611325:1929
11Athletic Club20610419:1828
12Sao Bernardo2076728:2327
13Nautico2074924:2425
14Cuiaba20510515:1525
15Botafogo SP2066824:2124
16Ceara2057820:2522
17Londrina20551027:3120
18Avai20551021:2720
19America MG20251314:3111
20Ponte Preta20231515:399
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)