Sport Picks

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Montevideo City vs Wanderers

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montevideo City host Wanderers in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. Little to choose between these two on current form. Wanderers have shipped 0.5 goals a game lately, while Montevideo City have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.88. Head-to-head, Montevideo City have won 1 to Wanderers's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.25, favoring Montevideo City. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Montevideo City
22%
Draws
60%
Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Wanderers haven't matched Montevideo City's recent run of results.
  • Wanderers are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Montevideo City Clean Sheet 19%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montevideo City Wanderers
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 18 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Montevideo City
0:4
Oct 12, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Wanderers
2:2
Apr 12, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Montevideo City
0:0
Sep 1, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Montevideo City
2:1
Jul 16, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Montevideo City
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montevideo City 20 / 100
Wanderers 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montevideo City Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montevideo City found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (36 games).

Defensive concern: Wanderers conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Montevideo City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montevideo City VS Wanderers
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montevideo City

(Home)
24 Jul
Montevideo City
1 : 0
Danubio
11 Jul
Juventud
1 : 3
Montevideo City
04 Jul
Bahia
4 : 1
Montevideo City
06 Jun
Montevideo City
2 : 4
Maldonado
31 May
Albion
1 : 2
Montevideo City
Page 1 of 8

Wanderers

(Away)
17 Jul
Club Nacional
1 : 2
Wanderers
11 Jul
Wanderers
2 : 0
Progreso
05 Jun
Wanderers
0 : 0
Danubio
31 May
Juventud
2 : 5
Wanderers
24 May
Wanderers
1 : 1
Maldonado
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol64119:313
2Cerro Largo63217:211
3CA Cerro63035:89
4Liverpool M.62225:58
5Central Esp.62224:48
6Racing Montevideo61413:37
7Boston River61235:95
8Defensor Sp.60334:83
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wanderers633010:412
2Montevideo City640211:912
3Maldonado632112:611
4Club Nacional63126:710
5Juventud62138:117
6Progreso62045:96
7Albion61234:65
8Danubio60333:73
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)