Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cartagena vs America De Cali

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
De Las Salas C.
26' Event
Valencia D.
90'
Tegue G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cartagena
39%
Draws
31%
America De Cali
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Cartagena haven't matched America De Cali's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • America De Cali arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor America De Cali, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 68%
America De Cali Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena America De Cali
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 15
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Copa Colombia
Cartagena vs America De Cali
1:1
Jul 22, 2026 Copa Colombia
America De Cali vs Cartagena
2:1
Nov 13, 2016 Primera B
Cartagena vs America De Cali
0:2
Nov 8, 2016 Primera B
America De Cali vs Cartagena
2:1
Sep 29, 2016 Primera B
Cartagena vs America De Cali
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartagena Compare

Top Goalscorer De Las Salas C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

America De Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Valencia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena 41 / 100
America De Cali 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena America De Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RCA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagena found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

America De Cali's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Cartagena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cartagena VS America De Cali
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagena

(Home)
30 Jul
Cartagena
1 : 1
America De Cali
26 Jul
Cartagena
5 : 1
Real Santander
22 Jul
America De Cali
2 : 1
Cartagena
29 May
Envigado
1 : 1
Cartagena
26 May
Cartagena
2 : 3
Envigado
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America De Cali

(Away)
30 Jul
Cartagena
1 : 1
America De Cali
26 Jul
Inter Bogotá
0 : 2
America De Cali
22 Jul
America De Cali
2 : 1
Cartagena
16 Jul
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1
America De Cali
12 Jul
UNAM Pumas
0 : 1
America De Cali
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Atl. Nacional4
Tigres Futbol Club0
Junior5
Barranquilla6
Dep. Pasto3
Bogota1
America De Cali3
Cartagena2
Once Caldas6
Envigado0
Deportes Tolima3
Quindio4
Santa Fe-
Union Magdalena-
Inter Bogotá3
Inter Palmira1