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Cartagena vs America De Cali - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena
Cartagena Logo

Cartagena

1 - 1
FT
America De Cali Logo

America De Cali

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
De Las Salas C.
26' Event
Valencia D.
90'
Tegue G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Cartagena
35%
Draws
50%
America De Cali
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: America De Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Cartagena haven't matched America De Cali's recent run of results.
  • 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • America De Cali arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor America De Cali, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 13%
America De Cali Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena America De Cali
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 10 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.48 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Copa Colombia
Cartagena vs America De Cali
1:1
Jul 22, 2026 Copa Colombia
America De Cali vs Cartagena
2:1
Nov 13, 2016 Primera B
Cartagena vs America De Cali
0:2
Nov 8, 2016 Primera B
America De Cali vs Cartagena
2:1
Sep 29, 2016 Primera B
Cartagena vs America De Cali
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartagena Compare

Top Goalscorer De Las Salas C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

America De Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Valencia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena 35 / 100
America De Cali 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena America De Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America De Cali Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagena found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Cartagena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

America De Cali let in goals in 54% of their last 26 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cartagena VS America De Cali
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagena

(Home)
08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2
Cartagena
04 Oct
Cartagena
2 : 3
Boca Juniors de Cali
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Cartagena
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1
Cartagena
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America De Cali

(Away)
05 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 2
America De Cali
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1
America De Cali
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1
Dep. Pasto
09 Sept
America De Cali
4 : 1
Dep. Pereira
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Atl. Nacional 4
Tigres Futbol Club 0
Junior 5
Barranquilla 6
Dep. Pasto 3
Bogota 1
America De Cali 3
Cartagena 2
Once Caldas 6
Envigado 0
Deportes Tolima 3
Quindio 4
Santa Fe 3
Union Magdalena 1
Inter Bogotá 3
Inter Palmira 1