Sport Picks

Stadium Background

America MG vs Sport Recife

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Mineirão
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America MG play Sport Recife in the Serie B. It looks like a close match. Recently, America MG averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Sport Recife averaged 1 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, America MG won 2, Sport Recife won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.76 for America MG and 1.13 for Sport Recife. This points to a Sport Recife double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
America MG
33%
Draws
27%
Sport Recife
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: America MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sport Recife has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to America MG.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for America MG.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie B provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
America MG Clean Sheet 68%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America MG Sport Recife
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Serie B
America MG vs Sport Recife
0:0
Oct 29, 2024 Serie B
America MG vs Sport Recife
2:1
Jul 13, 2024 Serie B
Sport Recife vs America MG
1:1
Nov 11, 2021 Serie A Betano
Sport Recife vs America MG
2:3
Jul 19, 2021 Serie A Betano
America MG vs Sport Recife
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America MG 50 / 100
Sport Recife 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America MG Sport Recife

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America MG scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Sport Recife let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

America MG went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sport Recife lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America MG VS Sport Recife
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma1796220:1233
2Vila Nova FC1794425:1931
3Operario-PR1794422:1831
4Novorizontino1786328:1630
5EC Juventude1785417:829
6Fortaleza1784520:1728
7Sao Bernardo1775523:1626
8Sport Recife1768321:1526
9Goias1774618:2325
10Atletico GO1766519:1924
11Cuiaba1759314:1124
12Athletic Club1657416:1622
13Nautico1763821:2121
14Botafogo SP1755720:1820
15CRB1755726:3120
16Londrina1653824:2418
17Ceara1645715:2017
18Avai1744918:2416
19Ponte Preta17221311:338
20America MG16131210:276