Sport Picks

Stadium Background

America Mineiro W vs Araguari W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Women
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America Mineiro W host Araguari W in the Mineiro Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: America Mineiro W at 2.38 goals for, 1.75 against; Araguari W at 0.54 for, 8.75 against. Head-to-head, America Mineiro W have won 3 to Araguari W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 28, 2025, ending 0:9. Model xG sits at 3.59 vs 1.10, favoring America Mineiro W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
America Mineiro W
15%
Draws
12%
Araguari W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America Mineiro W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to America Mineiro W lately — more wins on the board than Araguari W.
  • America Mineiro W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Mineiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • America Mineiro W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
America Mineiro W Clean Sheet 20%
Araguari W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America Mineiro W Araguari W
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 7 1
Draws 7 1
Losses 18 26
Goals Scored 2.38 0.54
Goals Conceded 1.75 8.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.59 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Mineiro Women
Araguari W vs America Mineiro W
0:9
Oct 22, 2023 Mineiro Women
America Mineiro W vs Araguari W
25:0
Oct 15, 2022 Mineiro Women
America Mineiro W vs Araguari W
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America Mineiro W 85 / 100
Araguari W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America Mineiro W Araguari W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America Mineiro W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguari W has conceded goals in 100% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 14.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Araguari W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

America Mineiro W found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

America Mineiro W VS Araguari W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.71
1.5 Goals Conceded 6.43
63% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

America Mineiro W

(Home)
03 Oct
Cruzeiro W
1 : 0
America Mineiro W
30 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 2
America Mineiro W
26 Sept
America Mineiro W
6 : 1
Venda Nova FC W
12 Sept
America Mineiro W
1 : 3
Atletico-MG W
05 Sept
Democrata GV W
0 : 6
America Mineiro W
Page 1 of 7

Araguari W

(Away)
09 Oct
Araguari W
1 : 7
Itabirito W
02 Oct
Araguari W
0 : 11
Atletico-MG W
27 Sept
Cruzeiro W
16 : 0
Araguari W
19 Sept
Venda Nova FC W
1 : 1
Araguari W
11 Sept
Araguari W
2 : 5
Democrata GV W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 5 4 1 0 33:3 13
2 Itabirito W 5 3 2 0 22:6 11
3 Atletico-MG W 4 3 1 0 17:1 10
4 America Mineiro W 5 2 0 3 15:8 6
5 Democrata GV W 5 2 0 3 9:15 6
6 Venda Nova FC W 5 0 1 4 2:29 1
7 Araguari W 5 0 1 4 4:40 1
Promotion - Mineiro Women (Play Offs)