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America Mineiro W vs Santos W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio Raimundo Sampaio (Independencia), Belo Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Giselly
64'
Sub
Larroquette M. In: Carol Lara
Out: Larroquette M.
64'
Sub
Katrine In: Thaisinha
Out: Katrine

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro Women game between America Mineiro W and Santos W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santos W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
America Mineiro W
15%
Draws
42%
Santos W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America Mineiro W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santos W come out ahead of America Mineiro W on wins alone.
  • America Mineiro W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors America Mineiro W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
America Mineiro W Clean Sheet 15%
Santos W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America Mineiro W Santos W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Brasileiro Women
America Mineiro W vs Santos W
0:1
Aug 7, 2025 Copa do Brasil Women
America Mineiro W vs Santos W
1:0
Mar 24, 2024 Brasileiro Women
America Mineiro W vs Santos W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America Mineiro W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Santos W Compare

Top Goalscorer Laryh
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America Mineiro W 75 / 100
Santos W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America Mineiro W Santos W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America Mineiro W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Santos W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: America Mineiro W scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

America Mineiro W VS Santos W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

America Mineiro W

(Home)
03 Oct
Cruzeiro W
1 : 0
America Mineiro W
30 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 2
America Mineiro W
26 Sept
America Mineiro W
6 : 1
Venda Nova FC W
12 Sept
America Mineiro W
1 : 3
Atletico-MG W
05 Sept
Democrata GV W
0 : 6
America Mineiro W
Page 1 of 6

Santos W

(Away)
26 Aug
Santos W
1 : 0
Mirassol W
22 Aug
Vitoria W
1 : 2
Santos W
16 Aug
Santos W
2 : 3
CR Flamengo W
13 Aug
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
Santos W
09 Aug
Corinthians W
4 : 1
Santos W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)