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America PE vs Academica Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2
Sat, Nov 1, 2025
1 - 2
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Hitalo Rogerio
90' Event
Luis Felipe
1' Event
Hitalo Rogerio
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Academica Vitoria advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
America PE
6%
Draws
4%
Academica Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America PE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and America PE come out ahead of Academica Vitoria on wins alone.
  • Model gives America PE a 90% chance of winning this.
  • America PE have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Academica Vitoria, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
America PE Clean Sheet 68%
Academica Vitoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America PE Academica Vitoria
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 19 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.67 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.67 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.83 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Pernambucano 2
America PE vs Academica Vitoria
1:2
Sep 28, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Academica Vitoria vs America PE
1:2
Feb 10, 2019 Pernambucano
Academica Vitoria vs America PE
1:0
Feb 4, 2018 Pernambucano
Academica Vitoria vs America PE
5:2
Mar 5, 2017 Pernambucano
America PE vs Academica Vitoria
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America PE Compare

Top Goalscorer Luis Felipe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.33

Academica Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Hitalo Rogerio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America PE 95 / 100
Academica Vitoria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America PE Academica Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America PE found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Academica Vitoria let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: America PE remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

America PE VS Academica Vitoria
2.67 Goals Scored 1.5
0.83 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

America PE

(Home)
01 Nov
America PE
1 : 2
Academica Vitoria
26 Oct
America PE
2 : 1
Caruaru
12 Oct
Ipojuca
2 : 4
America PE
08 Oct
America PE
5 : 0
Centro Limoeirense
05 Oct
Belo Jardim
0 : 2
America PE
Page 1 of 6

Academica Vitoria

(Away)
31 Jan
Academica Vitoria
2 : 3
Nautico
28 Jan
Decisao
0 : 4
Academica Vitoria
24 Jan
Sport Recife
3 : 0
Academica Vitoria
21 Jan
Academica Vitoria
0 : 2
Maguary
17 Jan
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Academica Vitoria
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Academica Vitoria3
Centro Limoeirense1
America PE2
Caruaru1
Final
Academica Vitoria2
America PE1