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America PE vs Sete de Setembro (PE)

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America PE play Sete de Setembro (PE) in the Pernambucano 2 2022. America PE are favorites here. Recently, America PE averaged 1.97 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. Sete de Setembro (PE) averaged 0.79 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, America PE won 2, Sete de Setembro (PE) won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 8, 2024 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for America PE and 0.61 for Sete de Setembro (PE). This points to a America PE double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
America PE
21%
Draws
16%
Sete de Setembro (PE)
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: America PE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • America PE picked up more points recently compared to Sete de Setembro (PE).
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 0.61 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
America PE Clean Sheet 29%
Sete de Setembro (PE) Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America PE Sete de Setembro (PE)
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 21 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.97 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.85 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2024 Pernambucano 3
America PE vs Sete de Setembro (PE)
4:1
Oct 9, 2022 Pernambucano 2
America PE vs Sete de Setembro (PE)
5:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America PE 63 / 100
Sete de Setembro (PE) 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America PE Sete de Setembro (PE)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America PE Win (1)
Secondary Pick America PE & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

America PE attacking → ← attacking Sete de Setembro (PE)

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America PE scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Sete de Setembro (PE) let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

America PE went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sete de Setembro (PE) lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 26
3.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.60
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Flamengo Arcoverde540111:312
2Decisao52305:39
3Petrolina522112:38
41º de Maio51313:36
5Pesqueira51228:55
6Serrano PE50051:230
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Central SC54017:112
2Maguary53117:310
3Ypiranga52214:38
4Belo Jardim51223:35
5CA Porto51223:45
6Cha Grande50140:101
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico Torres541011:213
2America PE52219:98
3Vera Cruz52125:37
4Academica Vitoria52035:56
5Sete de Setembro (PE)52035:96
6Santa Fe PE50232:92
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico PE651015:416
2Ipojuca650114:315
3Ferroviario do Cabo62318:59
4Centro Limoeirense622211:58
5Jaguar62047:176
6Cabense61239:125
7Timbauba FC60060:180