Sport Picks

Stadium Background

America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Augusto Silva Ferreira P.
(Penalty)
53' Event
Fonseca D.
57' Event
Logan

AI Match Summary

The Copa Rio U20 game between America RJ U20 and Vasco U20 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America RJ U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
America RJ U20
33%
Draws
27%
Vasco U20
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: America RJ U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vasco U20 come out ahead of America RJ U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans America RJ U20's way, sitting at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Rio U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
America RJ U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America RJ U20 Vasco U20
Matches Played 28 37
Wins 14 24
Draws 2 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.67 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.33 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.33 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
0:1
May 2, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs America RJ U20
4:1
Mar 28, 2026 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
3:2
Mar 22, 2025 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America RJ U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fonseca D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Logan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Feijao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America RJ U20 38 / 100
Vasco U20 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America RJ U20 Vasco U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

America RJ U20's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Vasco U20 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 37 outings.

America RJ U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America RJ U20 VS Vasco U20
1.67 Goals Scored 1.75
2.33 Goals Conceded 0.63
67% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fluminense U20752017:217
2Bangu U2075029:415
3Botafogo RJ U20743019:315
4Portuguesa RJ U20731311:910
5Boavista U2073045:99
6Resende U2072238:178
7Olaria U2071153:134
8Volta Redonda U2070165:201
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America RJ U20760116:818
2Vasco U20750218:815
3Flamengo RJ U20740321:1012
4Sampaio Correa U20731311:1310
5Madureira U2073136:1010
6Nova Iguacu U2072146:127
7Cabofriense U2072147:187
8Marica U2071065:113