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America RJ vs Americano

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
America RJ Logo

America RJ

0 - 2
FT
Americano Logo

Americano

Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Joao Maranhao
86' Event
Joao Maranhao
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Americano in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Americano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
America RJ
30%
Draws
41%
Americano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Americano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Americano average 1.31 goals a game right now, well clear of America RJ's 1.05.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
America RJ Clean Sheet 21%
Americano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America RJ Americano
Matches Played 40 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.05 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Carioca 2
Americano vs America RJ
4:1
Jul 11, 2026 Carioca 2
America RJ vs Americano
0:0
Apr 29, 2026 Carioca 2
America RJ vs Americano
0:2
Jul 12, 2025 Carioca 2
America RJ vs Americano
1:0
Jul 31, 2024 Carioca 2
Americano vs America RJ
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America RJ Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Americano Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Maranhao
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America RJ 37 / 100
Americano 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America RJ Americano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Americano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America RJ scored in 61% of their last 38 games.

Americano let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

America RJ went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America RJ VS Americano
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

America RJ

(Home)
22 Jul
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1
America RJ
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
America RJ
0 : 1
Nova Iguacu
11 Jul
America RJ
0 : 0
Americano
04 Jul
America RJ
5 : 0
Serrano FC
Page 1 of 8

Americano

(Away)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0
Americano
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)