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America RJ vs Audax RJ

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
America RJ
20%
Draws
0%
Audax RJ
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • America RJ carry the better recent record into this one.
  • America RJ are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • America RJ have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Audax RJ, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
America RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Audax RJ Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America RJ Audax RJ
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.03 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Carioca 2
Audax RJ vs America RJ
0:3
Aug 13, 2025 Copa Rio
Audax RJ vs America RJ
0:2
Jul 30, 2025 Copa Rio
America RJ vs Audax RJ
0:0
Jun 21, 2025 Carioca 2
America RJ vs Audax RJ
0:1
Jul 17, 2024 Carioca 2
Audax RJ vs America RJ
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America RJ 95 / 100
Audax RJ 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America RJ Audax RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America RJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Audax RJ has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Audax RJ let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

America RJ went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America RJ VS Audax RJ
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

America RJ

(Home)
22 Jul
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1
America RJ
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
America RJ
0 : 1
Nova Iguacu
11 Jul
America RJ
0 : 0
Americano
04 Jul
America RJ
5 : 0
Serrano FC
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Audax RJ

(Away)
26 Sept
Goncalense
3 : 2
Audax RJ
19 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 1
Serrano FC
12 Sept
Macae
2 : 0
Audax RJ
06 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 2
Artsul
04 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Audax RJ
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
CEAC/Araruama 3
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Cabofriense 2
Boavista 1
America RJ 2
Audax RJ 0
Goncalense 0
Marica 3
Duque de Caxias 1
Madureira 2
Campo Grande 0
Bangu 3
Resende 2
Portuguesa RJ 3
Quarter-finals
CEAC/Araruama 3
Nova Iguacu 2
Cabofriense 2
America RJ 5
Marica 6
Madureira 1
Bangu 0
Portuguesa RJ 1
Semi-finals
CEAC/Araruama 0
America RJ 1
Marica 1
Portuguesa RJ 3
Final
America RJ 1
Portuguesa RJ 2