Sport Picks

Brazil

Copa Rio 2025

Audax RJ

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

America RJ play Audax RJ in the Copa Rio 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, America RJ averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Audax RJ averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, America RJ won 2, Audax RJ won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 6, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.32 for America RJ and 0.90 for Audax RJ. This points to a America RJ double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

America RJ

25%

Draws

32%

Audax RJ

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: America RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

America RJ picked up more points recently compared to Audax RJ.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.32 vs 0.90 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

America RJ Clean Sheet 25%

Audax RJ Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	America RJ	Audax RJ
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	9
Draws	6	5
Losses	12	16
Goals Scored	1.1	1.07
Goals Conceded	1.37	1.3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Carioca 2

Audax RJ vs America RJ

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 2 - 4

0:3

Aug 13, 2025 Copa Rio

Audax RJ vs America RJ

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 2 - 4

0:2

Jul 30, 2025 Copa Rio

America RJ vs Audax RJ

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Jun 21, 2025 Carioca 2

America RJ vs Audax RJ

Possession: 49% - 43% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Jul 17, 2024 Carioca 2

Audax RJ vs America RJ

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 0 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America RJ 44 / 100

Audax RJ 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

America RJ Audax RJ

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: America RJ or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

America RJ attacking → ← attacking Audax RJ

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America RJ scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Audax RJ let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

America RJ went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Audax RJ lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 32

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.80

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40