Sport Picks

Brazil

Carioca 2

America RJ

0 - 1

CEAC/Araruama

Our Tip

Match Events

69'

Cesar J.

69'

Cesar J.

80'

Weverton

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CEAC/Araruama in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CEAC/Araruama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

America RJ

39%

Draws

30%

CEAC/Araruama

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

America RJ have won more games recently than CEAC/Araruama.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

America RJ Clean Sheet 23%

CEAC/Araruama Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	America RJ	CEAC/Araruama
Matches Played	43	31
Wins	15	10
Draws	13	10
Losses	15	11
Goals Scored	0.88	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Carioca 2

America RJ vs CEAC/Araruama

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Sep 6, 2025 Copa Rio

America RJ vs CEAC/Araruama

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Sep 3, 2025 Copa Rio

CEAC/Araruama vs America RJ

Possession: 40% - 57% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

Jul 6, 2025 Carioca 2

CEAC/Araruama vs America RJ

Possession: 60% - 54% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Jun 15, 2024 Carioca 2

America RJ vs CEAC/Araruama

Possession: 53% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America RJ Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

CEAC/Araruama Compare

Top Goalscorer Weverton

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America RJ 33 / 100

CEAC/Araruama 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

America RJ CEAC/Araruama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CEAC/Araruama's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: America RJ scored in 59% of their last 41 outings.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

America RJ went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America RJ VS CEAC/Araruama

0.88 Goals Scored 0.75

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5

63% Over 1.5 38%

38% Over 2.5 13%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Americano	11	8	1	2	18:9	25
2	Marica	11	7	3	1	11:7	24
3	Resende	11	5	4	2	16:9	19
4	America RJ	11	5	1	5	18:14	16
5	Perolas Negras	11	5	1	5	11:15	16
6	Sao Goncalo	11	4	2	5	11:10	14
7	Bonsucesso	11	4	2	5	10:11	14
8	Olaria	11	3	4	4	11:11	13
9	Cabofriense	11	3	3	5	12:13	12
10	CEAC/Araruama	11	3	2	6	11:15	11
11	Serrano FC	11	2	5	4	10:18	11
12	Audax RJ	11	3	0	8	10:17	9