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Stadium Background

America RN vs Santa Cruz de Natal

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar Arena das Dunas
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Carlos Coppetti
29' Event
Natan Masiero
Own Goal
90' Event
Wellington

AI Match Summary

America RN in this Potiguar matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored America RN.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
America RN
6%
Draws
4%
Santa Cruz de Natal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America RN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • America RN have won more games recently than Santa Cruz de Natal.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on America RN taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and America RN have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
America RN Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Cruz de Natal Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America RN Santa Cruz de Natal
Matches Played 46 38
Wins 30 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Potiguar
America RN vs Santa Cruz de Natal
3:0
Jun 28, 2025 Serie D
Santa Cruz de Natal vs America RN
1:2
May 18, 2025 Serie D
America RN vs Santa Cruz de Natal
3:0
Mar 15, 2025 Potiguar
America RN vs Santa Cruz de Natal
2:0
Mar 9, 2025 Potiguar
Santa Cruz de Natal vs America RN
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America RN Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos Coppetti
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wellington
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Santa Cruz de Natal Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America RN 95 / 100
Santa Cruz de Natal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America RN Santa Cruz de Natal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: America RN scored in 80% of their last 46 outings.

America RN went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Santa Cruz de Natal let in goals in 76% of their last 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

America RN VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America RN752016:317
2ABC743016:515
3QFC742114:514
4Potiguar de Mossoró74217:314
5Laguna RN712412:175
6Santa Cruz de Natal71249:195
7Potyguar Seridoense71158:194
8Globo FC70257:182