Sport Picks

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America Sao Manuel W vs Rio Preto W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America Sao Manuel W play Rio Preto W in the Paulista Women 2011. Rio Preto W are favorites here. Recently, America Sao Manuel W averaged 0.8 goals scored and 3.43 conceded. Rio Preto W averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, America Sao Manuel W won 0, Rio Preto W won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 28, 2015 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for America Sao Manuel W and 1.55 for Rio Preto W. This points to a Rio Preto W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
America Sao Manuel W
21%
Draws
60%
Rio Preto W
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Rio Preto W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • America Sao Manuel W picked up more points recently compared to Rio Preto W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.55 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
America Sao Manuel W Clean Sheet 15%
Rio Preto W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America Sao Manuel W Rio Preto W
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 17
Draws 3 11
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 0.8 2.06
Goals Conceded 3.43 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2015 Paulista Women
America Sao Manuel W vs Rio Preto W
0:3
May 17, 2015 Paulista Women
Rio Preto W vs America Sao Manuel W
11:0
Jun 8, 2014 Paulista Women
Rio Preto W vs America Sao Manuel W
3:0
May 10, 2014 Paulista Women
America Sao Manuel W vs Rio Preto W
1:1
Aug 11, 2013 Paulista Women
Rio Preto W vs America Sao Manuel W
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America Sao Manuel W 20 / 100
Rio Preto W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America Sao Manuel W Rio Preto W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Preto W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Rio Preto W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

America Sao Manuel W attacking → ← attacking Rio Preto W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America Sao Manuel W scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Rio Preto W let in goals in 71% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

America Sao Manuel W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Rio Preto W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 62
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Preto W16141170:1043
2Ferroviaria W16122253:1538
3Francana W16110536:2033
4Botucatu W1692546:929
5America Sao Manuel W1683537:2227
6Sao Judas Tadeu W16501122:3715
7Marilia W16401229:6312
8Piracicaba W16311218:4810
9Paulista W1611147:944
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Jose W181521108:947
2Santos W18151299:1246
3Centro Olimpico W18130580:1739
4Portuguesa W18112551:1835
5CA Juventus W1894555:2231
6Taboao da Serra W18801033:4524
7Taubate W18441019:5216
8Mogi das Cruzes SP W18311417:11610
9Sao Bernardo W18241220:6910
10Sao Vicente W18101713:1353