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America SP vs AA Itarare

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2018
America SP Logo

America SP

1 - 1
FT
AA Itarare Logo

AA Itarare

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A4 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
America SP
20%
Draws
23%
AA Itarare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • America SP haven't matched AA Itarare's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans America SP's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
America SP Clean Sheet 20%
AA Itarare Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America SP AA Itarare
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 10 15
Draws 11 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.22 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2018 Paulista A4
America SP vs AA Itarare
1:1
Jul 29, 2018 Paulista A4
AA Itarare vs America SP
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America SP 85 / 100
AA Itarare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America SP AA Itarare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America SP scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

AA Itarare let in goals in 62% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: America SP stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America SP VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

America SP

(Home)
16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1
America SP
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0
Independente SP
02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3
America SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1
Itaqua
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4
America SP
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AA Itarare

(Away)
20 Aug
Gremio Prudente
2 : 1
AA Itarare
14 Aug
AA Itarare
0 : 3
Gremio Prudente
06 Aug
SKA Brasil
1 : 2
AA Itarare
31 Jul
AA Itarare
0 : 1
Itapirense
24 Jul
AA Itarare
3 : 3
Catanduva FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Francana 6 3 2 1 7:2 11
2 Inter de Bebedouro 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
3 Osvaldo Cruz 6 2 0 4 2:6 6
4 Vocem 6 1 2 3 2:6 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Primavera EC 6 3 2 1 4:2 11
2 AA Itarare 6 2 4 0 5:3 10
3 Talentos 10 AC 6 3 0 3 8:7 9
4 America SP 6 0 2 4 5:10 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comercial 6 4 2 0 10:2 14
2 Paulista 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
3 Itapirense 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
4 Bandeirante 6 0 2 4 2:8 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 6 2 4 0 4:2 10
2 Flamengo SP 6 2 3 1 4:3 9
3 Guarulhos 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Maua FC 6 1 1 4 3:5 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Third stage)