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Stadium Background

America SP vs Jose Bonifacio EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-4. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
America SP
30%
Draws
31%
Jose Bonifacio EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: America SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jose Bonifacio EC lately — more wins on the board than America SP.
  • Win probability leans America SP's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Jose Bonifacio EC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
America SP Clean Sheet 68%
Jose Bonifacio EC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America SP Jose Bonifacio EC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.19 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Paulista B
Jose Bonifacio EC vs America SP
2:4
Jul 11, 2026 Paulista B
America SP vs Jose Bonifacio EC
0:0
Jun 20, 2026 Paulista B
America SP vs Jose Bonifacio EC
1:1
May 17, 2026 Paulista B
Jose Bonifacio EC vs America SP
1:1
Jun 8, 2019 Paulista A4
Jose Bonifacio EC vs America SP
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America SP 50 / 100
Jose Bonifacio EC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America SP Jose Bonifacio EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America SP's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Jose Bonifacio EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: America SP stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America SP VS Jose Bonifacio EC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

America SP

(Home)
16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1
America SP
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0
Independente SP
02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3
America SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1
Itaqua
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4
America SP
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Jose Bonifacio EC

(Away)
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4
America SP
11 Jul
America SP
0 : 0
Jose Bonifacio EC
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
America SP
1 : 1
Jose Bonifacio EC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Independente SP 4
Tupa 0
Paulinense 3
Sao Carlos 0
Flamengo SP 2
Audax-SP 1
Matonense 1
Assisense 0
Itaqua 6
Paulinia FU 1
Maua FC 3
Uniao Mogi 5
Jose Bonifacio EC 4
Manthiqueira 1
America SP 3
Santacruzense 0
Quarter-finals
Independente SP 3
Paulinense 1
Flamengo SP 4
Matonense 1
Itaqua 5
Uniao Mogi 1
Jose Bonifacio EC 2
America SP 4
Semi-finals
Independente SP 2
Flamengo SP 1
Itaqua 1
America SP 4
Final
Independente SP 4
America SP 3