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America TO vs Contagem

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America TO in this Mineiro 3 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored America TO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
America TO
20%
Draws
38%
Contagem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America TO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • America TO have won more games recently than Contagem.
  • Contagem are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
America TO Clean Sheet 16%
Contagem Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America TO Contagem
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.42 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Mineiro 3
America TO vs Contagem
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 Mineiro 3
Contagem vs America TO
2:2
Aug 27, 2022 Mineiro 3
Contagem vs America TO
1:2
Nov 13, 2021 Mineiro 3
Contagem vs America TO
1:2
Sep 12, 2021 Mineiro 3
America TO vs Contagem
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America TO 28 / 100
Contagem 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America TO Contagem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Contagem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: America TO scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: America TO stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Contagem has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

America TO VS Contagem
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

America TO

(Home)
04 Nov
Guarani-MG
3 : 0
America TO
26 Oct
America TO
1 : 0
Guarani-MG
19 Oct
America TO
2 : 0
Social
12 Oct
Boston City
0 : 2
America TO
05 Oct
America TO
0 : 1
Contagem
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Contagem

(Away)
03 Nov
Tupynambas
2 : 1
Contagem
26 Oct
Contagem
0 : 0
Tupynambas
19 Oct
Contagem
5 : 0
Boston City
12 Oct
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Contagem
05 Oct
America TO
0 : 1
Contagem
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarritense 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
2 Varginha 8 4 2 2 18:13 14
3 Pocos de Caldas 8 3 5 0 14:5 14
4 Tres Coracoes 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Figueirense Esporte Clube 8 0 1 7 6:19 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 25:7 16
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
3 Patrocinense 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
4 Inter de Minas 8 2 5 1 7:6 11
5 Araguari 8 0 2 6 2:30 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Manchester Futebol 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
3 Contagem 8 4 1 3 8:5 13
4 Boston City 8 4 1 3 11:7 13
5 Betis 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)