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American Samoa U23 vs Samoa U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U23 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samoa U23 in this OFC Championship U23 2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samoa U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
American Samoa U23
15%
Draws
85%
Samoa U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samoa U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • American Samoa U23 haven't matched Samoa U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Samoa U23 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Championship U23 2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 38%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
American Samoa U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Samoa U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric American Samoa U23 Samoa U23
Matches Played 3 6
Wins 0 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 0 1.67
Goals Conceded 7.67 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.02 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2019 OFC Championship U23
American Samoa U23 vs Samoa U23
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

American Samoa U23 10 / 100
Samoa U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
American Samoa U23 Samoa U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samoa U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samoa U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 6 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Difficult form: Samoa U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

American Samoa U23 scored in 0% of their last 3 games.

Scoring Trends

American Samoa U23 VS Samoa U23
0 Goals Scored 1.67
7.67 Goals Conceded 2.83
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

American Samoa U23

(Home)
27 Sept
American Samoa U23
0 : 5
Samoa U23
24 Sept
New Zealand U23
12 : 0
American Samoa U23
21 Sept
Solomon Islands U23
6 : 0
American Samoa U23

Samoa U23

(Away)
03 Sept
Vanuatu U23
3 : 1
Samoa U23
31 Aug
Solomon Islands U23
3 : 0
Samoa U23
28 Aug
Samoa U23
3 : 0
Tonga U23
27 Sept
American Samoa U23
0 : 5
Samoa U23
24 Sept
Samoa U23
0 : 5
Solomon Islands U23
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U23 3 3 0 0 22:3 9
2 Solomon Islands U23 3 2 0 1 13:4 6
3 Samoa U23 3 1 0 2 6:11 3
4 American Samoa U23 3 0 0 3 0:23 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U23 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vanuatu U23 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Fiji U23 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Papua New Guinea U23 3 1 0 2 8:7 3
4 Tonga U23 3 0 0 3 2:18 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U23 2019 (Play Offs)