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American Samoa vs Fiji

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fiji in this Pacific Games 2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-9 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fiji.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
American Samoa
20%
Draws
32%
Fiji
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: American Samoa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • American Samoa haven't matched Fiji's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fiji a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pacific Games 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fiji have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
American Samoa Clean Sheet 10%
Fiji Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric American Samoa Fiji
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 14
Draws 2 8
Losses 24 10
Goals Scored 0.63 2.5
Goals Conceded 6.73 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2019 Pacific Games
American Samoa vs Fiji
0:9
Aug 27, 2015 Friendly International
Fiji vs American Samoa
6:0
May 16, 2004 World Championship
Fiji vs American Samoa
11:0
Apr 7, 2001 World Championship
Fiji vs American Samoa
13:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

American Samoa 10 / 100
Fiji 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
American Samoa Fiji

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fiji Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 9.75 goals when they meet.

Fiji let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Difficult form: Fiji registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

American Samoa found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

American Samoa VS Fiji
1.33 Goals Scored 1.63
4 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

American Samoa

(Home)
28 Mar
American Samoa
0 : 6
Guam
25 Mar
United States Virgin Islands
5 : 2
American Samoa
08 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 2
American Samoa
06 Sept
American Samoa
0 : 2
Samoa
29 Nov
American Samoa
2 : 6
Tonga
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Fiji

(Away)
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2
Fiji
06 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Fiji
22 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1
Solomon Islands
20 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 0
Fiji
17 Nov
Vanuatu
2 : 0
Fiji
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U23 4 3 1 0 20:1 10
2 Papua New Guinea 4 3 0 1 16:2 9
3 Vanuatu 4 2 1 1 25:2 7
4 Samoa 4 1 0 3 3:22 3
5 Tonga 4 0 0 4 0:37 0
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Caledonia 5 5 0 0 22:0 15
2 Fiji 5 3 1 1 25:7 10
3 Tahiti 5 3 0 2 19:6 9
4 Solomon Islands 5 2 1 2 30:9 7
5 American Samoa 5 0 1 4 2:36 1
6 Tuvalu 5 0 1 4 2:42 1
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)