Sport Picks

Stadium Background

American Samoa vs Guam

World World

FIFA Series Estadio Juan Ramón Loubriel, Bayamón
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Mitchell A.
Own Goal
13' Event
Berg L.
Assist: Cunliffe J.
26'
Drago M.

AI Match Summary

Guam in this FIFA Series tie, finishing 0-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
American Samoa
6%
Draws
90%
Guam
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guam lately — more wins on the board than American Samoa.
  • Win probability leans Guam's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Guam arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guam, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
American Samoa Clean Sheet 10%
Guam Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric American Samoa Guam
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 6
Draws 2 2
Losses 24 21
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 5.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 FIFA Series
American Samoa vs Guam
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

American Samoa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Guam Compare

Top Goalscorer Berg L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Taitague A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

American Samoa 10 / 100
Guam 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
American Samoa Guam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guam has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Guam's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

American Samoa found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

American Samoa VS Guam
0.75 Goals Scored 1
5.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

American Samoa

(Home)
28 Mar
American Samoa
0 : 6
Guam
25 Mar
United States Virgin Islands
5 : 2
American Samoa
08 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 2
American Samoa
06 Sept
American Samoa
0 : 2
Samoa
29 Nov
American Samoa
2 : 6
Tonga
Page 1 of 6

Guam

(Away)
06 Jun
Myanmar
6 : 1
Guam
03 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1
Guam
28 Mar
American Samoa
0 : 6
Guam
26 Mar
Puerto Rico
4 : 0
Guam
22 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands
0 : 8
Guam
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

3rd place
American Samoa0
Guam6
Macau0
Tanzania6
Saint Kitts and Nevis4
Solomon Islands2
Grenada0
Kenya3