Sport Picks

Stadium Background

American Samoa W vs Papua New Guinea W

World World

Olympic Games Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

American Samoa W play Papua New Guinea W in the Olympic Games Women 2024. Papua New Guinea W are favorites here. Recently, American Samoa W averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Papua New Guinea W averaged 3 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, American Samoa W won 0, Papua New Guinea W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.09 for American Samoa W and 1.93 for Papua New Guinea W. This points to a Papua New Guinea W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
American Samoa W
6%
Draws
90%
Papua New Guinea W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Papua New Guinea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Papua New Guinea W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to American Samoa W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Papua New Guinea W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Olympic Games Women 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
American Samoa W Clean Sheet 10%
Papua New Guinea W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric American Samoa W Papua New Guinea W
Matches Played 17 29
Wins 4 17
Draws 1 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.43 3
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.86 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 World Cup Women
Papua New Guinea W vs American Samoa W
1:0
Feb 12, 2024 Olympic Games Women
American Samoa W vs Papua New Guinea W
0:9
Nov 17, 2023 Pacific Games Women
American Samoa W vs Papua New Guinea W
0:9

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

American Samoa W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Papua New Guinea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaipu M.
7 Goals
Assists Leader Pala
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

American Samoa W 10 / 100
Papua New Guinea W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
American Samoa W Papua New Guinea W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

American Samoa W scored in 35% of their last 17 games.

Papua New Guinea W let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.33 goals.

American Samoa W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Papua New Guinea W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

American Samoa W VS Papua New Guinea W
1.43 Goals Scored 3
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Solomon Islands W321011:37
2Fiji W320115:66
3Papua New Guinea W311113:54
4American Samoa W30031:260
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Zealand W330014:09
2Samoa W32013:66
3Tonga W31022:63
4Vanuatu W30031:80