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Americano Bacabal vs Maranhao

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Campeonato Maranhense 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Americano Bacabal play Maranhao in the Campeonato Maranhense 2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Americano Bacabal averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Maranhao averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Americano Bacabal won 0, Maranhao won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 18, 2017 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.43 for Americano Bacabal and 1.46 for Maranhao. This points to a Maranhao double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Americano Bacabal
22%
Draws
60%
Maranhao
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Maranhao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Maranhao has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Americano Bacabal.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Maranhao.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato Maranhense 2017 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Americano Bacabal Clean Sheet 16%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Americano Bacabal Maranhao
Matches Played 23 41
Wins 4 14
Draws 3 12
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.6 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.80 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2017 Maranhense
Americano Bacabal vs Maranhao
2:3
Jan 22, 2017 Maranhense
Maranhao vs Americano Bacabal
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Americano Bacabal 19 / 100
Maranhao 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Americano Bacabal Maranhao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Americano Bacabal scored in 57% of their last 23 games.

Maranhao let in goals in 63% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Americano Bacabal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Maranhao lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Americano Bacabal VS Maranhao
0.6 Goals Scored 1.13
1.8 Goals Conceded 2.25
60% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 88%
20% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Imperatriz63307:412
2Sao Jose (MA)61326:66
3Sampaio Correa61326:76
4Santa Quiteria61327:96
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cordino EC632110:711
2Maranhao63219:911
3Moto Club631212:710
4Americano Bacabal60155:131