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Americano Bacabal vs Sao Jose (MA) Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Americano Bacabal in this Maranhense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Americano Bacabal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Americano Bacabal
15%
Draws
36%
Sao Jose (MA)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Americano Bacabal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Jose (MA) have won more games recently than Americano Bacabal.
  • Americano Bacabal are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Maranhense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Americano Bacabal Clean Sheet 17%
Sao Jose (MA) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Americano Bacabal Sao Jose (MA)
Matches Played 23 35
Wins 4 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 0.83 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.04 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Maranhense 2
Americano Bacabal vs Sao Jose (MA)
1:0
Apr 12, 2017 Maranhense
Sao Jose (MA) vs Americano Bacabal
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Americano Bacabal 36 / 100
Sao Jose (MA) 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Americano Bacabal Sao Jose (MA)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose (MA) let in goals in 86% of their last 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Sao Jose (MA) lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Americano Bacabal's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Americano Bacabal VS Sao Jose (MA)
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Americano Bacabal

(Home)
02 Jul
Sao Luis
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
24 Jun
Americano Bacabal
2 : 2
Tupan
21 Jun
Americano Bacabal
1 : 0
Sao Jose (MA)
10 Jun
Araioses
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
01 Jun
Americano Bacabal
0 : 1
Expressinho
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Sao Jose (MA)

(Away)
04 Jul
Expressinho
2 : 1
Sao Jose (MA)
27 Jun
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 2
Sao Luis
21 Jun
Americano Bacabal
1 : 0
Sao Jose (MA)
14 Jun
Tupan
2 : 3
Sao Jose (MA)
30 May
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 1
Araioses
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araioses 5 4 1 0 6:0 13
2 Sao Luis 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Tupan 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
4 Expressinho 5 2 0 3 5:6 6
5 Americano Bacabal 5 1 1 3 3:9 4
6 Sao Jose (MA) 5 1 0 4 4:8 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
2 Pinheiro 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
3 Viana 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Timon EC (MA) 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
2 Cordino EC 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
3 Balsas 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)