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Americano Bacabal vs Tupan

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2
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AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2 game between Americano Bacabal and Tupan finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Americano Bacabal
39%
Draws
30%
Tupan
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Americano Bacabal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Americano Bacabal Clean Sheet 14%
Tupan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Americano Bacabal Tupan
Matches Played 23 19
Wins 4 2
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Maranhense 2
Americano Bacabal vs Tupan
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 Maranhense 2
Americano Bacabal vs Tupan
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Americano Bacabal 31 / 100
Tupan 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Americano Bacabal Tupan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tupan conceded in 84% of 19 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Americano Bacabal's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Americano Bacabal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Americano Bacabal VS Tupan
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araioses54106:013
2Sao Luis53119:410
3Tupan51316:66
4Expressinho52035:66
5Americano Bacabal51133:94
6Sao Jose (MA)51044:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lago Verde430113:39
2Pinheiro42114:37
3Viana40132:131
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Timon EC (MA)42204:18
2Cordino EC41213:35
3Balsas40223:62