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Americano Bacabal vs Tupan

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Americano Bacabal in this Maranhense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Americano Bacabal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Americano Bacabal
30%
Draws
39%
Tupan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tupan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Americano Bacabal have won more games recently than Tupan.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Americano Bacabal Clean Sheet 14%
Tupan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Americano Bacabal Tupan
Matches Played 23 19
Wins 4 2
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.83 0.74
Goals Conceded 2.04 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Maranhense 2
Americano Bacabal vs Tupan
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 Maranhense 2
Americano Bacabal vs Tupan
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Americano Bacabal 31 / 100
Tupan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Americano Bacabal Tupan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tupan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tupan conceded in 84% of 19 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Americano Bacabal found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (23 games).

Americano Bacabal has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Americano Bacabal VS Tupan
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Americano Bacabal

(Home)
02 Jul
Sao Luis
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
24 Jun
Americano Bacabal
2 : 2
Tupan
21 Jun
Americano Bacabal
1 : 0
Sao Jose (MA)
10 Jun
Araioses
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
01 Jun
Americano Bacabal
0 : 1
Expressinho
Page 1 of 5

Tupan

(Away)
15 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
5 : 1
Tupan
11 Jul
Tupan
0 : 1
Timon EC (MA)
01 Jul
Tupan
0 : 0
Araioses
24 Jun
Americano Bacabal
2 : 2
Tupan
20 Jun
Tupan
1 : 0
Expressinho
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luminense 4 3 1 0 9:1 10
2 Sao Luis 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
3 Americano Bacabal 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
4 Tupan 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
5 Expressinho 4 0 0 4 2:17 0
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
2 Timon EC (MA) 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
3 Sao Jose (MA) 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ITZ Sport 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Cordino EC 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
3 Balsas 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)