Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Americano vs Gremio Maringa

Brazil Brazil

Serie A 1978
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 1978 game between Americano and Gremio Maringa finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Americano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Americano
30%
Draws
37%
Gremio Maringa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gremio Maringa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Americano come out ahead of Gremio Maringa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Americano a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie A 1978 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Americano Clean Sheet 10%
Gremio Maringa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Americano Gremio Maringa
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.29 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 1978 Serie A Betano
Americano vs Gremio Maringa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Americano 34 / 100
Gremio Maringa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Americano Gremio Maringa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Maringa has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Americano scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Americano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Americano VS Gremio Maringa
1.75 Goals Scored 3
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Americano

(Home)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0
Americano
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6

Gremio Maringa

(Away)
05 Oct
Gremio Maringa
3 : 0
City London
28 Sept
Gremio Maringa
1 : 1
CA Cambe
20 Sept
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
3 : 3
Gremio Maringa
13 Sept
CA Cambe
1 : 0
Gremio Maringa
06 Sept
Gremio Maringa
2 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani 7 6 1 0 12:2 13
2 Internacional 7 6 0 1 12:5 12
3 Botafogo SP 7 4 0 3 12:7 8
4 Goias 7 3 1 3 9:9 7
5 Santos 7 2 2 3 10:6 6
6 Botafogo PB 7 2 1 4 6:10 5
7 Londrina 7 1 1 5 4:13 3
8 Goytacaz 7 1 0 6 3:16 2
Promotion - Serie A 1978 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Recife 7 4 2 1 9:6 10
2 Santa Cruz 7 3 4 0 17:9 10
3 Ponte Preta 7 2 5 0 8:2 9
4 Operario MS 7 3 2 2 8:8 8
5 Fluminense 7 2 3 2 7:5 7
6 Portuguesa 7 2 3 2 6:5 7
7 Dom Bosco 7 1 1 5 6:14 3
8 Volta Redonda 7 0 2 5 3:15 2
Promotion - Serie A 1978 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio 7 6 1 0 18:3 13
2 Palmeiras 7 2 4 1 11:5 8
3 Botafogo RJ 7 3 3 1 9:8 9
4 America RJ 7 3 1 3 7:9 7
5 Coritiba 7 2 3 2 5:6 7
6 Flamengo RJ 7 1 3 3 7:10 5
7 Noroeste 7 1 2 4 4:16 4
8 Sao Paulo 7 0 3 4 6:10 3
Promotion - Serie A 1978 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia 7 5 1 1 14:3 11
2 Vasco 7 4 3 0 13:5 11
3 SER Caxias do Sul 7 3 3 1 11:5 9
4 Corinthians 7 2 3 2 7:8 7
5 Cruzeiro 7 1 5 1 5:5 7
6 Americano 7 2 1 4 3:12 5
7 Gremio Maringa 7 1 2 4 7:10 4
8 Vitoria 7 0 2 5 2:14 2
Promotion - Serie A 1978 (Play Offs)