Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Americano vs Marica Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Americano Logo

Americano

1 - 1
FT
Marica Logo

Marica

Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Olegario M.
90' Event
Caio Vitor
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Americano
30%
Draws
37%
Marica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Americano have won more games recently than Marica.
  • Americano are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Americano Clean Sheet 68%
Marica Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Americano Marica
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Carioca 2
Americano vs Marica
1:1
May 25, 2024 Carioca 2
Americano vs Marica
0:0
Jul 1, 2023 Carioca 2
Americano vs Marica
1:0
Jul 28, 2022 Carioca 2
Marica vs Americano
1:2
Jul 17, 2021 Carioca 2
Americano vs Marica
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Americano Compare

Top Goalscorer Olegario M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Marica Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Vitor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Americano 59 / 100
Marica 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Americano Marica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Americano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Americano scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Americano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Marica has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Americano VS Marica
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Americano

(Home)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0
Americano
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6

Marica

(Away)
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0
Marica
05 Aug
Marica
1 : 0
Boavista
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)