Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Americano vs Olaria

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Americano Logo

Americano

2 - 1
FT
Olaria Logo

Olaria

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
de Oliveira V.
Own Goal
64' Event
Dandan
73' Event
Ricardinho
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Americano in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Americano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Americano
20%
Draws
29%
Olaria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Americano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Very High Confidence
  • Olaria haven't matched Americano's recent run of results.
  • Americano are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Americano Clean Sheet 20%
Olaria Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Americano Olaria
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Carioca 2
Americano vs Olaria
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 Carioca 2
Americano vs Olaria
0:0
Jun 8, 2024 Carioca 2
Americano vs Olaria
1:2
May 13, 2023 Carioca 2
Americano vs Olaria
1:1
Aug 13, 2022 Carioca 2
Americano vs Olaria
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Americano Compare

Top Goalscorer Dandan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ricardinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Olaria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Americano 58 / 100
Olaria 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Americano Olaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Americano found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Americano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Olaria lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Americano VS Olaria
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Americano

(Home)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0
Americano
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6

Olaria

(Away)
05 Aug
Olaria
0 : 1
Nova Iguacu
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
27 Jun
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 0
Olaria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)