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Americo EC vs Guaruja

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2012
Americo EC Logo

Americo EC

2 - 1
FT
Guaruja Logo

Guaruja

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2012 game between Americo EC and Guaruja finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Americo EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Americo EC
30%
Draws
0%
Guaruja
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Americo EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Guaruja haven't matched Americo EC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Americo EC a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Americo EC Clean Sheet 20%
Guaruja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Americo EC Guaruja
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 8 6
Draws 12 6
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.38 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2012 Paulista A4
Americo EC vs Guaruja
2:1
Aug 15, 2012 Paulista A4
Guaruja vs Americo EC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Americo EC 85 / 100
Guaruja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Americo EC Guaruja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Americo EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guaruja conceded in 91% of 34 recent games.

Guaruja lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Americo EC scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guaruja
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Americo EC

(Home)
18 Aug
Americo EC
2 : 2
Tupa
14 Aug
Cotia
3 : 2
Americo EC
10 Aug
Lemense
1 : 1
Americo EC
03 Aug
Americo EC
1 : 3
Lemense
31 Jul
Americo EC
1 : 1
Cotia
Page 1 of 7

Guaruja

(Away)
08 Jul
Elosport
3 : 0
Guaruja
30 Jun
Guaruja
0 : 3
AA Itarare
23 Jun
Primavera EC
3 : 0
Guaruja
16 Jun
Guaruja
0 : 3
Jabaquara
10 Jun
Maua FC
3 : 0
Guaruja
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Barueri 6 2 3 1 6:7 9
2 Votuporanguense 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
3 Nacional SP 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
4 SKA Brasil 6 1 2 3 6:7 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jacarei FC 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Fernandopolis 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
3 Mauaense 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
4 Sumare 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
2 Jose Bonifacio EC 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Americo EC 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
4 Guaruja 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Vicente 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
2 Tupa 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 Olimpia FC 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
4 Jaboticabal Atletico 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)