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Amfiali vs PAE Egaleo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 8
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Amfiali host PAE Egaleo in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 8. PAE Egaleo are expected to control this from the start. Amfiali have averaged 1 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against PAE Egaleo's 1.17 scored and 1.17 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 0.63, favoring PAE Egaleo. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Amfiali
25%
Draws
35%
PAE Egaleo
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Amfiali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PAE Egaleo come out ahead of Amfiali on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Amfiali Clean Sheet 20%
PAE Egaleo Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amfiali PAE Egaleo
Matches Played 2 36
Wins 1 17
Draws 1 6
Losses 0 13
Goals Scored 1 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amfiali 32 / 100
PAE Egaleo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amfiali PAE Egaleo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAE Egaleo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amfiali scored in 100% of their last 2 games.

PAE Egaleo let in goals in 64% of their last 36 matches.

Amfiali went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: PAE Egaleo registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amfiali VS PAE Egaleo
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amfiali

(Home)
04 Oct
Ethnikos Piraeus
1 : 1
Amfiali
27 Sept
Amfiali
1 : 0
Ialisos

PAE Egaleo

(Away)
04 Oct
Ialisos
0 : 1
PAE Egaleo
27 Sept
PAE Egaleo
4 : 1
Apollon Kalythion
25 Apr
Ilioupoli
1 : 3
PAE Egaleo
19 Apr
Panargiakos
3 : 2
PAE Egaleo
04 Apr
PAE Egaleo
1 : 0
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PAE Egaleo 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Apollon Smyrnis 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Doxa Vyronas 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Amfiali 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Afantou 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 Ionikos 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
8 Diagoras FC 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
9 PAO Rouf 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
10 Ialysos 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
11 AO Proodeftiki 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
12 Apollon Kalythion 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (Losers stage)