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Amical Saint-Prex vs Lugano II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Antonio B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Amical Saint-Prex in this Promotion League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amical Saint-Prex.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Amical Saint-Prex
15%
Draws
26%
Lugano II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Amical Saint-Prex

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Amical Saint-Prex lately — more wins on the board than Lugano II.
  • Amical Saint-Prex are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Amical Saint-Prex Clean Sheet 20%
Lugano II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amical Saint-Prex Lugano II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.1 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Promotion League
Amical Saint-Prex vs Lugano II
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amical Saint-Prex 42 / 100
Lugano II 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amical Saint-Prex Lugano II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amical Saint-Prex found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Lugano II conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Amical Saint-Prex stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Lugano II's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Amical Saint-Prex VS Lugano II
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Amical Saint-Prex

(Home)
10 Oct
Bavois
0 : 2
Amical Saint-Prex
03 Oct
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 2
Biel
26 Sept
Luzern II
2 : 3
Amical Saint-Prex
19 Sept
Amical Saint-Prex
2 : 2
Young Boys II
10 Sept
Bulle
3 : 1
Amical Saint-Prex
Page 1 of 6

Lugano II

(Away)
03 Oct
Paradiso
1 : 0
Lugano II
26 Sept
Lugano II
0 : 1
Cham
19 Sept
Schaffhausen
2 : 1
Lugano II
13 Sept
Lugano II
3 : 0
Basel II
05 Sept
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 0
Lugano II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biel 10 8 1 1 23:10 25
2 Schaffhausen 11 8 1 2 29:13 25
3 Cham 11 7 1 3 19:14 22
4 Bulle 11 6 3 2 24:16 21
5 Paradiso 11 6 2 3 22:11 20
6 Young Fellows Juventus 11 6 1 4 16:14 19
7 Grand-Saconnex 11 6 0 5 19:15 18
8 Amical Saint-Prex 11 5 1 5 16:22 16
9 Basel II 10 5 0 5 19:19 15
10 Zurich II 11 4 3 4 20:20 15
11 Breitenrain 11 4 3 4 15:17 15
12 Bruhl SG 11 4 2 5 13:15 14
13 FC Kreuzlingen 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
14 Young Boys II 11 3 2 6 21:30 11
15 Lugano II 10 3 0 7 15:22 9
16 Bavois 11 2 2 7 10:14 8
17 Luzern II 11 2 1 8 15:27 7
18 Bellinzona 11 1 2 8 7:24 5
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)