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Amiens SC vs Caen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade de la Licorne, Amiens
Thu, Nov 19, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Amiens SC host Caen in the Ligue 3. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Amiens SC have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Caen's 1.77 scored and 1.35 conceded. Head-to-head, Amiens SC have won 1 to Caen's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.13) point toward Caen. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Amiens SC
30%
Draws
35%
Caen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caen come out ahead of Amiens SC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Amiens SC a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Amiens SC Clean Sheet 20%
Caen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amiens SC Caen
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2025 Ligue 2
Amiens SC vs Caen
2:1
Sep 24, 2024 Ligue 2
Caen vs Amiens SC
2:1
Feb 10, 2024 Ligue 2
Caen vs Amiens SC
2:0
Dec 19, 2023 Ligue 2
Amiens SC vs Caen
0:0
May 20, 2023 Ligue 2
Amiens SC vs Caen
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amiens SC 67 / 100
Caen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amiens SC Caen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amiens SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Amiens SC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Amiens SC found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Caen let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Amiens SC VS Caen
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Amiens SC

(Home)
17 Oct
Valenciennes
1 : 1
Amiens SC
03 Oct
Amiens SC
3 : 0
Villefranche
26 Sept
Quevilly
1 : 1
Amiens SC
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
10 Sept
Cannes
0 : 0
Amiens SC
Page 1 of 6

Caen

(Away)
15 Oct
Caen
2 : 1
La Roche Vendee
03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2
Caen
24 Sept
Caen
3 : 2
Rouen
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0
Caen
12 Sept
Caen
2 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
2 Rouen 10 6 2 2 18:8 20
3 Versailles 10 6 1 3 15:13 19
4 Caen 10 6 0 4 19:13 18
5 Concarneau 10 4 5 1 13:9 17
6 Le Puy-en-Velay 10 5 1 4 12:9 16
7 Amiens SC 10 4 4 2 13:4 16
8 Cannes 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
9 Fleury 91 10 4 3 3 16:12 15
10 Paris 13 Atletico 10 4 3 3 10:10 15
11 Quevilly 10 3 4 3 11:14 13
12 Thionville 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
13 Bastia 10 3 3 4 8:12 12
14 Valenciennes 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
15 Orleans 10 2 3 5 9:14 9
16 Aubagne FC 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
17 Villefranche 10 2 1 7 9:23 7
18 Bourg Peronnas 10 1 2 7 5:16 5
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)