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Amiens SC vs Thionville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade de la Licorne, Amiens
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Amiens SC host Thionville in the Ligue 3. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Thionville have shipped 1.54 goals a game lately, while Amiens SC have conceded 1.44 and scored 1.26. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.38 - 1.06) back Thionville to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Amiens SC
35%
Draws
10%
Thionville
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Amiens SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thionville come out ahead of Amiens SC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Amiens SC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Amiens SC Clean Sheet 20%
Thionville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amiens SC Thionville
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.26 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amiens SC 85 / 100
Thionville 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amiens SC Thionville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amiens SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Amiens SC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Amiens SC's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Thionville let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Away concern: Thionville has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Amiens SC VS Thionville
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Amiens SC

(Home)
03 Oct
Amiens SC
3 : 0
Villefranche
26 Sept
Quevilly
1 : 1
Amiens SC
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
10 Sept
Cannes
0 : 0
Amiens SC
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3
Amiens SC
Page 1 of 6

Thionville

(Away)
03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0
Thionville
26 Sept
Thionville
1 : 2
La Roche Vendee
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1
Thionville
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4
Rouen
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)