Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Amkar vs D. Bryansk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 Zvezda Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Amkar play D. Bryansk in the FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Amkar averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. D. Bryansk averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Amkar won 0, D. Bryansk won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Amkar and 1.44 for D. Bryansk. This points to a D. Bryansk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Amkar
24%
Draws
44%
D. Bryansk
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: D. Bryansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Amkar picked up more points recently compared to D. Bryansk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Amkar Clean Sheet 16%
D. Bryansk Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amkar D. Bryansk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 20
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.77 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
D. Bryansk vs Amkar
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Amkar vs D. Bryansk
1:1
Feb 26, 2022 Club Friendly
D. Bryansk vs Amkar
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amkar Compare

Top Goalscorer Tolkachev L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

D. Bryansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Gribov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amkar 32 / 100
D. Bryansk 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amkar D. Bryansk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: D. Bryansk or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Amkar attacking → ← attacking D. Bryansk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amkar scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

D. Bryansk let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Amkar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

D. Bryansk lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 65
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1D. Bryansk18113423:1936
2Kirov1889131:1633
3Alania Vladikavkaz1875623:2226
4Dynamo Vladivostok1866621:2024
5Amkar1866630:2624
6Dynamo Moscow 21857629:3622
7Zenit St Petersburg 21864833:3722
8Tyumen1855825:2520
9Dynamo Stavropol18531020:2618
10Kuban1846817:2518